The U.S. Solar Energy Market in a World Perspective

Mar 1, 2008
0 Pages - Pub ID: SB1610062
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Chapter 1 Executive Summary
  • Introduction
  • Scope of Study: All Solar Systems and Products
  • Not Included: Other Renewable Energy (RE) Sources
  • Not Included (With Qualifications): Nonrenewable Energy
  • (NRE) Sources
  • Research Methodology
  • Study Focus Primarily on PV
  • Photovoltaic (PV) Cells
  • Silicon PV
  • Thin Film PV Cells
  • BOS Components: Inverters
  • Batteries
  • Charge Controllers
  • Mounts/Racks
  • Solar Thermal Systems
  • Concentrating Solar Power
  • Solar Water Pumps
  • Solar Remote Systems
  • Mobile/Portable Solar Systems
  • Consumer/Other Products

  • The Solar Market
    • The Global PV Market: Total Annual Production
    • Table 1-1 Total Global PV Production (1995-2007)
    • Annual Production by Country
    • U.S. Leads in Thin Film Production
    • The U.S. Solar Market: Total and Domestic Shipments
    • Table 1-2 U.S. Annual PV Shipments (Cells/Modules): Total/Domestic/Export (2002-2006) (MW)
    • Crystal Silicon vs. Thin Film
    • Table 1-3 U.S. PV Shipments: Crystal Silicon/Thin Film/Concentrator Cells (2002-2006) (% MW)
    • Retail Prices and Grid Parity
    • Total Solar Thermal Collector Shipments
    • Table 1-4 Total U.S. Solar Thermal Collector Shipments: 2000-2006 (Millions Square Feet)
    • Boom in High-Temperature Shipments
    • Table 1-5 Total U.S. Solar Thermal Collector Shipments: By Temperature Type (2004-2006) (Millions Square Feet)
    • Estimated Combined PV/ST Sales: 2003 to 2007
    • Table 1-6 U.S. Solar Power Market: Estimated Total Dollar Sales (2003-2007) ($ Millions)
    • Five External Factors Favor Future Growth
    • Internal Factors Favoring Growth
    • A Final Favorable Factor: Technological Momentum
    • Negative Factors in Growth: Overview
    • Sales Projection: 2008-2012
    • Table 1-7 U.S. Solar Power Market: Projected Total Dollar Sales (2008-2012) ($ Millions)

  • Solar Competitors
    • Types and Size
    • Most Maintain Specialized Focus
    • Domestic vs. Foreign Marketers
    • Marketer Share: Global PV Production
    • Table 1-8 Global PV Production Share: By Company (2006)

  • Solar Market Trends
    • Globalization of U.S. Solar Market
    • Horizontal and Vertical Integration
    • Commodity Production Now the Name of the Game
    • Stock Market Trends
    • Financing Trends
    • Emerging Financing Models
    • PV Trends: The Silicon Shortage
    • PV Trends: Thin Film
    • Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) Trends
    • Solar Thermal Trends
    • Federal Government Trends
    • California Trends
    • Distribution Structure
      • Overview: Theme and Variations

    Chapter 2 Solar Systems/Products

    • Introduction: Market Parameters
      • Scope of Study: All Solar Systems and Products
      • Not Included: Other Renewable Energy (RE) Sources
      • Not Included (With Qualifications): Nonrenewable Energy (NRE) Sources
      • Distributed vs. Centralized Generation
      • Note on Abbreviations

    • Solar-Electric (Photovoltaic) Systems
      • Overview: Solar-Electric vs. Solar-Thermal Technology
      • Study Focus Primarily on PV
      • Photovoltaic (PV) Cells
      • Basic Cell Elements
      • Silicon PV
      • Crystalline Cells
      • Monocrystalline Cells
      • Polycrystalline Cells
      • Mono More Efficient Than Poly
      • Boules, Blocks, and “Kerf”
      • The String Ribbon Method
      • Standard Crystal Silicon Cell Processing
      • Cells into Modules
      • Thin Film PV Cells
      • Six Thin Film Types
      • Thin Film Attributes and Drawbacks
      • Amorphous-Silicon (a-Si)
      • Thin Films, BIPV, and Durability
      • PV Systems: On-Grid vs. Off-Grid
      • DC Solar vs. AC Utility
      • BOS Components: Inverters
      • Batteries
      • Charge Controllers
      • Mounts/Racks
      • Solar Trackers
      • Accessories

    • Solar Thermal Systems
      • Overview
      • Solar Heating and Cooling of Water and Air
      • Solar Heating Systems: Active and Passive
      • Solar Water Heating Systems: Collectors
      • Evacuated-Tube Collectors
      • Solar Water Heating: Low vs. Medium Temperature
      • Water Heating Systems: Active vs. Passive
      • Active Water Heating Systems: Direct (Open-Loop)
      • Active Water Heating Systems: Indirect (Closed-Loop)
      • Passive Water Heating Systems
      • ICS (Batch) Systems
      • Thermosiphon Systems
      • Swimming Pool Systems
      • Solar Air Heating Systems: More Complex
      • Active Air Heating Systems: Low Temperature
      • Active Air Heating Systems: Medium Temperature
      • Radiant Floor Systems
      • High-Temperature Industrial Systems
      • Passive Air Heating Systems
      • Three Basic Types
      • Solar Cooling Systems

    • Concentrating Solar Power (CSP)
      • CSP Basics
      • CSP vs. Conventional PV
      • CSP So Far Limited to Desert Settings
      • Dishes, Troughs, and Power Towers

    • Other Solar Systems/Products
      • Solar Water Pumps
      • Solar Remote Systems
      • Mobile/Portable Solar Systems
      • Consumer/Other Products

    Chapter 3 The Solar Market

    • U.S. Solar Market in a Global Context
    • Overview
    • The Global PV Market: Total Annual Production
    • Table 3-1 Total Global PV Production (1995-2007)
    • Total Cumulative Production
    • Table 3-2 World Cumulative Production (2000-2007)
    • Annual Production by Country
    • Table 3-3 Global PV Production: % MW Share (2006)
    • Table 3-4 U.S. PV Production: 2000-2006 (MW)
    • U.S. Leads in Thin Film Production—For Now
    • Table 3-5 Thin Film Production: % Share (2003-2006)
    • Annual Installations by Country
    • Table 3-6 Global PV Annual Installations: Germany, Japan, U.S. (2005-2007) (MW)
    • Table 3-7 U.S. Annual PV Installations: 2001-2007 (MW)

  • The U.S. PV Market
    • Overview
    • Total and Domestic Shipments
    • Table 3-8 U.S. Annual PV Shipments (Cells/Modules): Total/Domestic/Export (2002-2006) (MW)
    • Exports
    • Table 3-9 Share of US PV Shipments: Domestic vs. Exports (2002-2006) (MW)
    • Imports
    • Table 3-10 U.S. PV Shipments: Imports (2002-2006) (MW)
    • Export Destinations
    • Table 3-11 Share of US Exports of PV Cells/Modules: By Country/Continent (2006) (MW)
    • Shipments by Type: Cells vs. Modules
    • Table 3-12 Percent Share of U.S. PV Shipments: Cells vs. Modules (2002-2006) (% MW)
    • Crystal Silicon vs. Thin Film
    • Table 3-13 U.S. PV Shipments: Crystal Silicon/Thin Film/Concentrator Cells (2002-2006) (% MW)
    • Table 3-14 U.S. PV Shipments: Exports by Crystal Silicon vs. Thin Film (2005/2006) (MW)
    • Thin Film Numbers in Flux
    • PV Shipments Distribution
    • By Market Sector
    • Table 3-15 Percent Share of U.S. PV Shipments: Distribution by Market Sector (2005/2006) (% MW)
    • By Distribution Channel
    • Table 3-16 U.S. PV Shipments Units and Share: Distribution by Distribution Channel (2006) (MW)
    • By End-Use
    • Table 3-17 Percent Share of U.S. PV Shipments: Distribution by End-Use (2005/2006) (% MW)
    • Value of PV Shipments
    • Table 3-18 U.S. PV Shipments: $ Value by Type (2005/2006) ($ Millions)
    • Figure 3-1 Share of U.S. PV Shipment Dollar Value: Crystal Silicon vs. Thin Film (2006)
    • Prices: Crystal Silicon PV
    • Table 3-19 U.S. PV Prices: Crystal Silicon Cells vs. Modules (2005/2006)
    • Prices: Thin Film PV
    • Price Per Installed Watt
    • Retail Prices and Grid Parity
    • PV Efficiency

  • The U.S. Solar Thermal Market
    • Overview
    • Total ST Collector Shipments
    • Table 3-20 Total U.S. Solar Thermal Collector Shipments: 2000-2006 (Millions Square Feet)
    • Boom in High-Temperature Shipments
    • Table 3-21 Total U.S. Solar Thermal Collector Shipments: By Temperature Type (2004-2006) (Millions Square Feet)
    • Medium-Temp Shipments by Segment
    • Figure 3-2 Share of Solar Thermal Shipments by Medium-Temperature Segment (2006)
    • Value of ST Shipments
    • Table 3-22 Total U.S. Solar Thermal Collector Shipments: Dollar Value by Temperature Type (2005/2006) ($ Millions)
    • Medium-Temp Shipments Value
    • ST Prices
    • ST Distribution: By Market Sector
    • Figure 3-3 Share of Solar Thermal Shipments by Market Sector (2006)
    • By Distribution Channel
    • By End-Use
    • Figure 3-4 Share of Solar Thermal Shipments by End-Use (2006)
    • ST Exports
    • Domestic ST Shipments by State

  • U.S. Solar Market: Sales and Growth
    • Estimated Combined PV/ST Sales: 2003 to 2007
    • Table 3-23 U.S. Solar Power Market: Estimated Total Dollar Sales (2003-2007) ($ Millions)
    • Sales and Growth by Category

  • Factors in Future Growth
    • Positive Factors in Growth: Overview
    • Five External Factors Favor Growth
    • The Economy: NRE Prices and Supplies
    • Ecology: Climate Change
    • Politics: National Security
    • Private Sector Investment
    • Public Sector Support
    • Internal Factors Favoring Growth
    • The Solar Sales Pitch
    • Long-Term Benefits
    • Medium-Term Benefits
    • Short-Term Benefits
    • Remote Infrastructure: Immediate Benefits
    • Transportation: Solar Lights/Signals
    • Telecommunications: Repeaters and Sensors
    • Remote Buildings/Facilities
    • Rural and Emergency Response
    • A Final Favorable Factor: Technological Momentum
    • Growing Excitement
    • Negative Factors in Growth: Overview
    • Expensive Price
    • Systems Affordability
    • Lack of Investment
    • Government Involvement
    • Favorable Foreign Frameworks
    • California and the Other States
    • Lukewarm Federal Support
    • Legal/Regulatory Issues
    • Utility Obstacles
    • The Credit Crisis
    • Technological Issues: The Silicon Shortage
    • Thin Film Comes on Strong—But Skeptics Unconvinced
    • CSP Suddenly Booming—But Questions Remain

  • Market Projections
    • Sales Projection: 2008-2012
    • Table 3-24 U.S. Solar Power Market: Projected Total Dollar Sales (2008-2012) ($ Millions)
    • Assumptions
    • PV Projections
    • Solar Thermal Projections

    Chapter 4 The Competitors

    • Overview
    • Competitive Context
    • Highly Scientific
    • New “Distributed” Paradigm
    • Public/Private Interaction
    • Young Formation
    • Myriad Divisions
    • Extra-Market Factors Integral to Market Structure
    • Solar Competitors
      • Types and Size
      • Most Maintain Specialized Focus
      • Domestic vs. Foreign Marketers
      • Marketer Share: Global PV Production
      • Table 4-1 Global PV Production Share: By Company (2006)
      • Major Share Shakeup on the Way
      • Competitors by Product Category/Segment
        • Competitors: PV Cells/Modules
        • Table 4-2 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: PV Cells and Modules
        • Competitors: Thin Film
        • Table 4-3 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Thin Film
        • Competitors: PV Manufacturing Equipment
        • Table 4-4 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: PV Cell/Module Manufacturing Equipment
        • Competitors: Concentrating Solar Power (CSP)
        • Table 4-5 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: CSP/CVP
        • Competitors: Inverters
        • Table 4-6 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Inverters
        • Competitors: Charge Controllers
        • Table 4-7 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Charge Controllers
        • Competitors: Batteries
        • Table 4-8. Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Batteries
        • Competitors: Electronic Measuring and Monitoring Products
        • Competitors: Solar System Mounts/Racks
        • Table 4-9 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Mounts/Racks
        • Competitors: Solar Thermal Systems
        • Table 4-10 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Solar-Thermal Products/Systems
        • Competitors: Solar Pumps
        • Table 4-11 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Solar Pumps
        • Competitors: Passive Solar Systems
        • Table 4-12 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Passive Solar Products/Systems
        • Competitors: Solar Lighting Systems
        • Table 4-13 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Solar Lighting
        • Competitors: Solar Cooking Ovens and Refrigerators/Freezers/AC
        • Table 4-14 Selected List of U.S. Solar Market Competitors: Solar Oven Marketers
        • Competitors: Solar Consumer Products
        • Competitors: Portable/Mobile Solar Generators
        • Competitive Profiles
          • Introduction
          • Competitive Profile: SunPower
          • Amazing Strengths
          • Large-Scale Projects, International Expansion
          • Recent U.S. Projects
          • Skyrocketing Production
          • Solar Access Financing Program
          • Quantum Leap in Sales
          • Speculation
          • Profile: Sharp Solar
          • Global Leader with Major U.S. Presence
          • Solar Pioneer
          • Small-Scale Focus
          • Aesthetics
          • Convenience
          • Horizontal Integration
          • A Rare Solar Advertiser
          • Into A-Si Hybrids
          • Speculation
          • Competitive Profile: First Solar
          • Tops in Thin Film
          • Cadmium Telluride Mystery Success
          • Company History
          • Production Explosion
          • Supply Already Spoken For
          • Sales Fireworks
          • Utility-Scale Hopes
          • Speculation
          • Competitive Profile: Nanosolar
          • A CIGS Breakthrough
          • VC Investment History
          • Huge Production in Silicon Valley
          • Speculation
          • Competitive Profile: Evergreen Solar
          • Unique Manufacturer
          • Company History
          • String Ribbon Manufacturing Efficiency
          • No Profit Yet
          • Scrambling for Investment
          • EverQ
          • Silicon Contracts to Meet Billion-Dollar Commitments
          • New Plant Facilitated by Massachusetts
          • Utility Partnership
          • Speculation

    Chapter 5 Solar Market Trends

    • Competitive Trends
      • Globalization of U.S. Solar Market
      • Growing Foreign Presence
      • Homegrown Competitors Look Overseas
      • Horizontal and Vertical Integration
      • Commodity Production Now the Name of the Game

    • Investment Trends
      • VC Firms and Solar Investment
      • VC Trends in 2006
      • VC Trends in First-Half 2007
      • Table 5-1 Selected List of VC Investments in Solar Firms: 2006 and First-Half 2007
      • Table 5-1[Cont.] Selected List of VC Investments in Solar Firms: 2006 and First-Half 2007
      • Stock Market Trends
      • Table 5-2 Solar Companies Trading on Public Stock Markets: By Exchange and Stock Symbol, 2007
      • Solar Stocks

    • Financing Trends
      • Financing Is Fundamental
      • Emerging Financing Models
      • Focus: SunEdison
      • New Solar Financiers
      • Cautionary Note
      • Solar Loan Programs
      • Public Sector Financing

    • Technology Trends and Competitive Dynamics
      • PV Trends: Silicon
      • The Silicon Shortage Is Easing
      • Silicon Numbers by the Metric Ton
      • Leading Silicon Producers
      • European and Australian Silicon Startups
      • Chinese Silicon Startups
      • Silicon Shortage Coping Strategies
      • PV Trends: Thin Film
      • Recent Advances Lead to “Gold Rush”
      • TF Production Set to Soar
      • Asian Companies Embrace Hybrid TF Variations
      • Few Challengers in CdTe
      • CIGS Is Where the Action Is
      • Lower Chinese Prices
      • Thin Film Promise
      • Thin Film Problems
      • PV Trends: Emerging Alternatives
      • Hybrid Cells
      • Organic Cells
      • Color-Sensitive Cells
      • Quantum Dots
      • Holographic Cells
      • Breakthroughs in Efficiency
      • Metallurgical Silicon
      • PV Trends: Manufacturing Equipment
      • PV Trends: Miscellaneous
      • Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) Trends
      • CSP Back with a Vengeance
      • CSP Potential
      • Vinod Khosla and CSP
      • Scaled-Down CSP for Cities
      • Complex U.S. Developments
      • Focus: Ausra
      • Focus: Bright Source Energy
      • Focus: Solel Solar Systems
      • Concentrating Photovoltaics (CPV)
      • Solar Thermal Trends
      • Product Trends
      • Project Trends
      • Applications Trends

    • Government Trends
      • Federal Government Trends
      • The Solar America Initiative
      • Table 5-3 Solar Initiative America: Technology Pathway Partnerships (2007 Through 2009)
      • Table 5-3[Cont.] Solar Initiative America: Technology Pathway Partnerships (2007 Through 2009)
      • California Trends
      • Other State Trends
      • State Rebate Programs
      • Table 5-4 State Rebates for PV Installation: 2007
      • State Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS)

    Chapter 6 Solar Market Distribution

    • Distribution Structure
      • Overview: Theme and Variations
      • Distribution and Manufacturers
      • Distribution and Distributors Value-Added Resellers Value-Added Distributors Wholesale Distributors Table 6-1 Selected List of U.S Solar Distributors (2007) Distribution and Dealer/Installers Table 6-2 Selected List of U.S Solar Dealers/Installers by State Table 6-2[Cont.] Selected List of U.S Solar Dealers/Installers by State Distribution and Direct-Sales Retailers Distribution and the End-User System Designers Systems Integrators Table 6-3 Selected List of U.S. Solar Systems Integrators

      Appendix: Selected Addresses of Solar Marketers
      • PV Cell/Module Marketers
      • Solar Thermal Marketers
      • Balance-of-System/Other Solar Marketers

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