SBI Bulletin: Rare Earth Elements Markets Worldwide, 2005-2020

 
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Rare earth elements (REE) are used in myriad advanced technology systems, including many alternative energy products. While rare earths are not rare, they are not often found in concentrations that are economically viable for development. China, however, has most of the world’s proven REE reserves and has virtually cornered the rare earth market with over a 97 percent market share. During 2010, this near-monopoly has had significant repercussions on supply, demand, price, and exploration to find new REE deposits. This SBI Bulletin examines the past and current market for rare earth elements, and projects demand and supply for these minerals through 2020. New sources of rare earths are identified, particularly in terms of their effect on the world rare earth market. The effect of REE supply and price on alternative energy systems is discussed in depth as well as potential alternatives to REEs. Political, environmental, social, and economic impacts are delineated as they relate to the production and use of rare earth elements.
SBI Bulletin: Rare Earth Elements Markets Worldwide, 2005-2020
Scope
Market Volatility
Figure 1-1 Rare Earth Prices – Selected Minerals, 2005-2009 ($/kg REO equivalent)
Chinese Rare Earth Quotas
Figure 1-2 Chinese Rare Earth Quotas and Price Effects Metric Tons of REE, $/kg REO Equivalents, (2005-2010)
China-Japan Tensions
Soaring Rare Earth Prices
Figure 1-3 Rare Earth Prices – Selected Light Rare Earth Elements (LREE), 2005-2010 ($/kg – REO equivalent)
Figure 1-4 Rare Earth Prices – Selected Heavy Rare Earth Elements (HREE), 2005-2010 ($/kg -REO equivalents)
Market Size
Figure 1-5 Rare Earth Production, 2005-20010 (metric tons)
Figure 1-6 Rare Earth Market Size, 2005-2010 ($ billions)
Market Demand
Figure 1-7 Rare Earth Demand, 2005-2010 (metric tons)
Figure 1-8 REE Usage by Country, 2008 (% of REE use by category within a country)
Rare Earth Exports/Imports
Figure 1-10 Rare Earth Imports – United States and Japan, 2005-2010 (metric tons Rare Earth Oxide-equivalent)
Figure 1-11 Rare Earth Exports – United States and Japan, 2005-2010 (metric tons Rare Earth Oxide-equivalent)
Rare Earth Growth Factors
Figure 1-12 Rare Earth Uses, 2010
Technology
Figure 1-13 Magnet Strengths, (MGO)
Chinese Demand
Defense Systems
Japanese Demand
Recycling
Factors Inhibiting Rare Earth Growth
Development Costs
Environmental Issues
Lack of Expertise
Rare Earth Element Mix
Table 1-1 Selected Heavy Rare Earth Element (HREE) Sources
Location
Rare Earth Prices
Substitute Materials
Strategic Reserves
Acts of God
Market Growth 2011 to 2020
Rare Earth Element Demand
Figure 1-14 Light Rare Earth Demand, 2011-2020 (thousands of metric tons)
Figure 1-15 Heavy Rare Earth Demand, 2011-2020 (thousands of metric tons)
Rare Earth Magnets – The Dysprosium Problem
Figure 1-16 Dysprosium Demand vs Production, 2011-2020 (metric tons)
Rare Earth Element Production
Figure 1-17 Rare Earth Element Production, 2011-2020 (thousands of metric tons)
Market Size
Figure 1-18 Global Rare Earth Production (less China), 2011-2020 (thousands of metric tons)
Figure 1-19 Rare Earth Market and Global Rare Earth Production, 2011-2020 ($ billions, thousands of metric tons)
Summary

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